Not quite. Try again.
Mirek — a note before we meet · Tuesday, 10:30
We think 43 of them would waste your money.
Which is the useful part. Anyone can hand you a list of tactics. The job we want is telling you, with reasons, which ones to refuse.
The elimination
Every spoke is a real way brands sell sports nutrition in this country. Watch what happens when we apply your actual constraints: no US checkout, sixteen doors, one person running a continent, and a competitor set that outspends you by three orders of magnitude.
ClickTap any spokeShowing you a few. ClickTap to take over.
Every spoke on this wheel is one tactic. Pick any of them and you get our read on why it is in or out. The four in gold are the four we would put your money behind. Those unlock Tuesday.
Start anywhere
We ran every one of them against the same four questions. Can it reach the person who would actually buy this? Can we prove it worked? Can you afford it at this stage? And is it a fight you can win? Most of them fail on the first two.
Why we are not sending you to the shelf
Chevron · Meridian Avenue · San Jose
One of our partners pulled over on the way past and photographed the first health section he could find.
That is a gas station on a commuter road, and it still carries that much. Count the facings, then remember where you are standing.
Now picture the same wall at Target, at Dick’s, at Sports Basement. Every brand on it is paying for its position, and the ones at eye level are paying most. Winning that wall in a shopper’s memory is not a budget problem you solve with a bigger budget. It is why share of voice and price promotion came off the wheel before anything else did.
So we would go around it. Find the people a narrow audience already trusts, the ones with real sway over a few thousand climbers or triathletes or trail runners, and let them do the recommending. Somebody who is told about a gel by a person they believe is not shopping that rack. They are looking for one box.
People are always looking for the next thing. That is a tailwind, and it is free. The shelf is upstream, and it costs everything you have.
How we would find the four
The reason most launches fail is not a bad idea. It is one expensive idea, committed to early, defended for a year because somebody has to. We would rather run twenty cheap experiments than one costly conviction.
Step one
One athlete, in one narrow sport, with an audience that actually believes her. One post, one code. Not a campaign. A question, asked in public, with a price tag you would not notice.
Step two
Because there is a code on it, nobody has to have an opinion about the creative. The number is the number. This is the part most agencies quietly avoid building.
Step three
The niches that moved get more money. The ones that did not, stop, this week, without a meeting. That is how a drip becomes a flow, and it is how you find out which four were right without betting the year on them.
Low risk. Get signal. Keep going. That is the whole method, and the smaller the niche, the faster it tells you the truth.
And one thing that is not in any scope
Twenty minutes from our office there is a bicycle company you already know. Its founder is someone our team knows personally. It has more independent US specialty dealers than any bike brand in the country, it sells no nutrition of its own, and its shops sell somebody else's gels to exactly the rider who should be buying yours.
We have not called him. We wanted to ask you first, and we wanted to be sure it was the right play rather than the exciting one. That is the conversation we would like to have on Tuesday.
This is the kind of thing that does not appear on a rate card. It is also the reason to pick a partner with relationships instead of a partner with a media plan.
Three things we found on our own
01
enervit.us is listed on GoDaddy at about $1,500 and someone else is holding it. An American who Googles you after seeing the shelf lands on a broker's page, or on a storefront quoting euros.
02
One of the retailers on your list publishes a category calendar. The window that contains sports nutrition closes on a specific day this autumn, and then it does not reopen for a year. We know the date.
03
By a small margin, and in the wrong language. There is a version of that audience that lives fifteen minutes from your office, and nobody is speaking to it.
All three are in the full response. So are the other two.
Tuesday
We are going to show you the four that survived, the reasoning behind each cut, and what it costs to test them at a size where being wrong is cheap. You should not have to guess, and you certainly should not have to guess expensively.
One addition to the room, because this conversation deserves him.
Joining us
Two decades running brand and communications at national scale, and the person on our team most likely to tell you an idea is wrong before you pay for it. He asked to be on this call after reading your brief.
Also there
The same three from the 25th. Chris on strategy, Andy on digital and creators, Ashlesha running the programme.
What we need
Come as you are. If you want to send the retailer hit list you mentioned, we will have it mapped before you sit down. If not, we will manage.